Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 8.791899 9.828859 10.948160 12.247614 13.716581 15.327820 17.231889
2025-04-20 7.167100 8.531424 10.107112 12.067060 14.447466 17.254633 20.830409
2025-04-27 6.035711 7.597085 9.512710 12.048843 15.337680 19.484571 25.150738
2025-05-04 5.106459 6.762772 8.910503 11.922789 16.075690 21.653325 29.802145
2025-05-11 4.268561 5.919912 8.171919 11.502547 16.362695 23.287842 34.067681
2025-05-18 3.628200 5.250599 7.568942 11.172028 16.718976 25.080012 38.912916
2025-05-25 3.126606 4.706538 7.064391 10.903210 17.119655 27.005474 44.348781
2025-06-01 2.739107 4.277683 6.669165 10.737390 17.650022 29.222388 50.710499
2025-06-08 2.431007 3.929489 6.349401 10.640521 18.273985 31.699286 58.038467
2025-06-15 2.236926 3.738935 6.256785 10.907624 19.565208 35.559641 68.726922
2025-06-22 2.006648 3.456447 5.969890 10.787713 20.135587 38.204556 77.649975
2025-06-29 1.781446 3.153815 5.607307 10.473119 20.283120 40.061483 85.373951
2025-07-06 1.596501 2.905100 5.317997 10.270869 20.653323 42.508154 95.134294
2025-07-13 1.486947 2.782716 5.248787 10.493553 21.941229 47.147336 111.108940
2025-07-20 1.394860 2.682115 5.208319 10.770029 23.400390 52.474420 130.205371
2025-07-27 1.295822 2.555354 5.098991 10.883899 24.522252 57.271254 149.321154
2025-08-03 1.177886 2.375853 4.858181 10.671497 24.850244 60.235231 164.380803
2025-08-10 1.076650 2.219227 4.646072 10.492664 25.230770 63.423535 181.044466
2025-08-17 0.988557 2.080445 4.455450 10.335816 25.641424 66.790555 199.292389
2025-08-24 0.915198 1.965476 4.303684 10.250455 26.225487 70.769362 220.732518
2025-08-31 0.852547 1.867343 4.178302 10.212238 26.932680 75.266669 245.367779
2025-09-07 0.816963 1.827072 4.183272 10.509952 28.634180 83.099615 284.223587
2025-09-14 0.761789 1.734649 4.051694 10.426683 29.228048 87.690231 312.971000